Nvidia Nvda Stock

Written by KASHIF FARID Lahore-based tech stock analyst & developer with 5+ years tracking NVIDIA, AI semiconductors, & NASDAQ trends. Followed NVDA since 2021 boom, analyzed earnings, Blackwell rollout, & competitor moves via Yahoo Finance, Motley Fool, TipRanks. Trusted insights for global investors — expertise in AI-driven growth & valuation.

Published: February 12, 2026 Last Updated: February 12, 2026 (Real-time data post-Feb 11 close)

NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock in February 2026: Current Status & Why It Matters

As of February 11, 2026 (market open), NVIDIA (NVDA) trades around $191-192 (intraday high ~$193, low ~$188), up ~1.6-2% that day. Market cap ~$4.7 trillion, making it one of the world’s most valuable companies. This follows a volatile start to 2026: From ~$172 low early Feb to recent highs near $193, but still below 2025 peak of ~$212.

NVDA’s dominance in AI GPUs (Blackwell series ramping) drives this — Data Center revenue hit records in Q3 FY2026 (~$51B, 89% of total). With Q4 earnings on Feb 25, 2026 expected at ~$65B+ revenue, investors watch for beats on AI demand from Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Google.

For global investors (USA focus via NASDAQ, but accessible worldwide), NVDA remains AI supercycle play — but valuation high (P/E ~46-47x), competition rising (AMD, Intel), & risks like memory shortages or China export curbs.

Recent Performance (2025-2026 YTD)

• 2025: +39% gain (strong but below prior years’ explosive growth).
• 2026 YTD (Jan-Feb): Sideways to slight up (~1-2% monthly average), with volatility from inventory concerns & Blackwell delays.
• 52-week range: $86.62 low to $212.19 high.
• Dividend: Tiny 0.02% yield (focus on growth, not income).

Key driver: AI capex boom — hyperscalers plan $527B+ spend in 2026, much flowing to NVIDIA GPUs.

2026 Stock Forecast & Analyst Targets

Analysts remain bullish — consensus “Strong Buy” (91% Buy ratings).

• Average 2026 price target: $247-$260 (30-40% upside from ~$192).
• High targets: $300-$352 (Motley Fool, Evercore, Cantor Fitzgerald).
• Low: ~$140 (cautious views).
• Year-end 2026 predictions: $247 (Motley Fool), $300+ (24/7 Wall St.), up to $7-9T market cap scenarios ($280-350/share range).

Revenue outlook: FY2026 Data Center ~$320-330B possible (from $500B+ Blackwell/Rubin visibility through 2026). Overall revenue ~$213B+ estimates.

Why upside? Blackwell Ultra (B300) shipments doubling in 2026, Rubin (R100) late-2026 on 3nm with HBM4 — trillion-parameter AI models need this power.

Key Drivers for NVDA in 2026

1. Blackwell GPU Ramp: Demand massive — full-rack solutions (GPUs + networking) boost pricing power. Revenue visibility $500B+ through 2026.
2. AI Inference Boom: Beyond training, inference (real-time AI) surges — Broadcom, hyperscalers confirm.
3. Earnings Catalyst: Feb 25, 2026 Q4 report — beat potential on $65B+ guidance.
4. Market Share Defense: 92% discrete GPU share (slight dip but strong vs AMD/Intel).
5. Diversification: Automotive, gaming (RTX 50 series, though supply cuts rumored early 2026 due to memory shortages).

Risks & Challenges in 2026

• Competition: AMD gaining in data center (better CPU/GPU balance), Intel pushing back with foundry/AI chips.
• Inventory Buildup: $19.7B in Q3 FY2025 — days inventory 105 (above average), signaling potential slowdown.
• Geopolitical/Supply: China restrictions, memory shortages (HBM) could cut RTX 50 production 30-40% H1 2026.
• Valuation Fatigue: P/E 46x vs sector ~25x — any miss could trigger pullback.
• AI Spending Pause: If hyperscalers slow capex post-2026, growth moderates.

Compared to peers: NVDA P/E lower than 5-year avg (~45x), but AMD/Intel lag in AI revenue growth.

Investment Outlook: Buy, Hold, or Sell in 2026?

Bull Case (Strong Buy for long-term): AI multi-year supercycle — NVDA leads chips/infrastructure. Targets $250-300+ year-end realistic if earnings beat & Blackwell ramps smoothly.

Bear Case (Hold/Caution): Consolidation year — inventory, competition, valuation cap gains. Possible sideways or dip to $170-180 if misses.

My View: Hold if owned, add on dips for 2026-2030 horizon. Not “get rich quick” anymore, but AI dominance makes it core portfolio stock.

FAQ (AIO-Optimized)

What is NVIDIA stock price today (Feb 2026)?

~$191-192 (Feb 11 close/open data), up slightly intraday.

NVDA 2026 price target?

Consensus $247-260; optimistic $300+.

When is next earnings?

Feb 25, 2026 (Q4 FY2026).

Is NVDA a buy in 2026?

Strong Buy consensus — AI growth outweighs risks for most.

NVDA vs AMD/Intel?

NVDA leads AI GPUs; AMD better diversified, Intel catching up but trailing.

Sources (Trust Signals):

• Yahoo Finance & NVIDIA Investor Relations (real-time prices/history)
• Motley Fool, TipRanks, Seeking Alpha (forecasts/analysis)
• 24/7 Wall St., Finbold (price targets)
• GuruFocus, Macrotrends (financials & history)